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Between Harbor Light and Hard Policy: The Caribbean Weighs Washington’s Venezuela Gamble

Marco Rubio defended the U.S.-backed removal of Venezuela’s Maduro to Caribbean leaders, who voiced cautious concern over Washington’s assertive regional policies.

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Febri Kurniawan

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Between Harbor Light and Hard Policy: The Caribbean Weighs Washington’s Venezuela Gamble

The trade winds moved gently across Basseterre, brushing the palms and the pastel facades of government buildings in St. Kitts and Nevis. Inside a conference hall not far from the harbor, Caribbean leaders gathered beneath quiet chandeliers, their conversations measured, their expressions attentive. The sea outside kept its steady rhythm. Inside, diplomacy carried a sharper edge.

Marco Rubio stood before representatives of the Caribbean Community, defending Washington’s decision to back the removal of Nicolás Maduro from power in Venezuela. The message was direct: the United States believes the region is more stable without Maduro at the helm, and it views the transition as a step toward democratic restoration.

Yet the room was not defined by applause. Many Caribbean nations, bound by geography and history to both Caracas and Washington, have approached recent U.S. policies with caution. The legacy of intervention in the hemisphere lingers in memory, and the assertive posture of the administration under Donald Trump has unsettled some governments that favor gradual diplomacy over abrupt change.

Rubio framed the ouster as necessary and justified, describing it as part of a broader effort to counter authoritarian governance and restore institutional order. He urged Caribbean partners to see the development not as disruption, but as recalibration—an opportunity for regional economic recovery and political normalization. Security cooperation, migration management, and energy stability formed the backbone of his appeal.

For leaders of small island states, however, the calculus is layered. Venezuela has long been more than a distant political story. Through initiatives such as subsidized oil agreements in past decades, Caracas cultivated relationships that softened energy costs and shaped regional ties. Even as those programs waned amid Venezuela’s economic collapse, the memory of partnership remained.

Beyond Venezuela, unease has also grown around broader U.S. positions toward Cuba and expanding Chinese investment across the Caribbean basin. Rubio’s remarks reportedly included warnings about strategic dependencies and the influence of external powers, reinforcing Washington’s view that hemispheric alignment carries strategic weight.

Still, the conversations unfolded without rupture. Caribbean leaders emphasized sovereignty and non-interference, reiterating that regional stability depends on dialogue and respect for international norms. The tone was careful rather than confrontational, reflective rather than reactive.

The moment illustrates a subtle shift in hemispheric dynamics. The United States remains the Caribbean’s dominant economic and security partner, yet its influence now operates in a more plural environment. China’s infrastructure investments, regional trade diversification, and evolving political currents have introduced new layers to diplomatic balancing.

As the summit concluded, no dramatic declarations reshaped the map. Rubio reaffirmed Washington’s commitment to the Caribbean, pledging continued collaboration on disaster resilience, crime prevention, and economic development. Caribbean officials, in turn, signaled willingness to cooperate—while maintaining their preference for steady, multilateral engagement.

Outside, the harbor water reflected late-afternoon light. Boats moved slowly between docks, indifferent to speeches delivered inland. In that quiet movement lay the region’s enduring instinct: to navigate currents carefully, aware that even distant storms can alter familiar tides. The debate over Venezuela’s future may continue, but for Caribbean nations, the deeper question remains how to preserve balance amid shifting power and persistent proximity.

AI Image Disclaimer Illustrations were created using AI tools and are not real photographs.

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