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Dust, Distance, and Diplomacy: Reengaging the Sahel After Russia

The U.S. signals cautious engagement with Mali, Burkina Faso, and Niger after their military rulers turned to Russia, reflecting a pragmatic reassessment amid insecurity and rivalry.

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Vandesar

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Dust, Distance, and Diplomacy: Reengaging the Sahel After Russia

Across the Sahel, the land stretches wide and patient, its horizons shaped by dust, wind, and long memory. Roads run straight for miles, interrupted by checkpoints and towns where radios murmur news from faraway capitals. In this vast interior of West Africa, alliances have shifted quietly, like weather fronts moving at night.

In recent months, Washington has begun to signal a renewed willingness to engage with three military-led governments in the region—Mali, Burkina Faso, and Niger—countries that, after a series of coups, turned decisively toward Russia for security partnerships and diplomatic backing. The shift did not happen all at once. It unfolded through suspended aid, recalled ambassadors, and a cooling of relations that followed the overthrow of elected leaders between 2020 and 2023.

The juntas framed their turn toward Moscow as a matter of sovereignty and survival. Facing insurgencies linked to Islamist groups and growing frustration with Western security assistance, they sought new partners who promised weapons, training, and fewer political conditions. Russian influence expanded through military cooperation, advisors, and state-linked contractors, filling gaps left by departing French and American forces. In Niger, the rupture was especially sharp, with U.S. troops ordered to withdraw after the July 2023 coup.

Now, the tone from Washington has softened, though not without caution. U.S. officials have said engagement does not mean endorsement, but recognition of realities on the ground. With security deteriorating across the Sahel and humanitarian needs deepening, isolation has proven a blunt tool. Diplomacy, even with unelected rulers, is being reconsidered as a way to retain influence and prevent the region from drifting further into Moscow’s orbit.

The conversations are tentative. Sanctions and restrictions remain in place, and calls for a return to civilian rule continue to anchor U.S. policy statements. Yet behind the language of principles lies a pragmatic concern: extremist violence crosses borders easily, and great-power competition does not pause for democratic transitions. In this landscape, absence can be as consequential as presence.

For the juntas, engagement offers legitimacy without elections, a chance to diversify partnerships rather than rely on a single external patron. For Washington, it is an attempt to re-enter rooms it once left, aware that influence, once surrendered, is difficult to reclaim. The region’s people, meanwhile, live with the daily consequences—curfews, military patrols, and economies strained by sanctions and insecurity.

As evening settles over Bamako, Ouagadougou, and Niamey, the outlines of this recalibration remain indistinct. No embassies reopen overnight. No alliances are fully rewritten. What is clear is the direction of travel: the United States is looking again toward three West African states it had pushed away, even as their leaders maintain close ties with Russia.

The fact is simple, though its implications are not. After turning east for support, three West African juntas are now part of a cautious American reassessment—one shaped less by ideals than by geography, security, and the quiet acknowledgment that disengagement leaves its own kind of vacuum.

AI Image Disclaimer Visuals are AI-generated and serve as conceptual representations.

Sources Reuters Associated Press BBC News Al Jazeera Council on Foreign Relations

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