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Sanctions and Scarcity: What’s Next for the Island?

Cuba faces a worsening fuel crisis, including jet fuel shortages, as U.S. sanctions under President Trump intensify economic pressure on the island.

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Sanctions and Scarcity: What’s Next for the Island?

As Cuba confronts a deepening fuel crisis, the question echoing across the island is simple but urgent: what comes next? With jet fuel supplies reportedly running dry and flights disrupted, economic pressure is mounting just as Washington tightens sanctions once again under President Donald Trump.

The fuel shortage has forced Cuba’s national carrier to scale back operations and strained tourism, one of the country’s most vital sources of foreign currency. Airports have faced delays and cancellations as jet fuel imports falter, underscoring the island’s heavy reliance on external energy supplies.

The renewed squeeze from the United States has targeted financial channels and oil shipments, building on a long-standing embargo that dates back more than six decades. The restrictions aim to limit Havana’s access to hard currency and external support, but critics argue they also compound hardships for ordinary Cubans already grappling with inflation, blackouts, and food shortages.

The state-run energy sector has struggled to stabilize supplies amid reduced deliveries from traditional partners. Analysts say the situation reflects a confluence of factors: declining foreign reserves, sanctions that complicate transactions, and logistical bottlenecks in global energy markets. With aviation fuel scarce, the ripple effects extend beyond tourism to trade, medical travel, and family remittances.

The government of Cuba has sought alternative suppliers and emergency agreements, while urging citizens to conserve energy. Officials frame the crisis as externally imposed, blaming U.S. policy for tightening financial isolation. Washington, in contrast, argues that sanctions are intended to pressure the Cuban leadership over governance and human rights concerns.

Regional observers note that Havana has weathered severe economic storms before, including the “Special Period” of the 1990s following the collapse of the Soviet Union. Yet today’s challenges are compounded by global inflation and diminished state capacity. Younger Cubans, facing limited prospects, continue to leave in record numbers, reshaping demographics and social dynamics.

What lies ahead may depend on diplomatic recalibration—or on Cuba’s ability to diversify energy sources and attract investment despite restrictions. For now, grounded aircraft serve as a visible symbol of a broader stagnation. As pressure intensifies from abroad and scarcity deepens at home, the island once again stands at a crossroads between endurance and change.

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